Before getting too deep into a business, it’s critical to analyze your financial model for startup growth. Building a successful business can be challenging, so you’ve got to know what you’re getting into and what you need to do to succeed. 

But how can you best build a model that reflects this? Read on to learn how to use your startup’s financial model to drive growth.

What is Financial Modeling?

A financial model is an abstract representation of a potential real-world situation. It’s a mathematical model designed to provide a simplified view of the future performance of financial assets. Those assets could be a business (or portfolio of businesses), projects within a company, or other investments.

The most effective approaches to financial modeling are a combination of top-down and bottom-up forecasting.

Top-down Forecasting

With top-down forecasting, you start with the total market size and estimate how much of that market your company can capture. Essentially, you’re beginning with a significant number and then shrinking it down.

The first step requires deciding on the significant number you’ll use as a basis, i.e., annual revenue. Then divide that number into smaller and smaller pieces until you reach a sufficient level of detail, monthly revenue, for example.

A top-down forecast is conducive for newer companies with little historical data to use as a basis. 

Bottom-up Forecasting

This approach generally begins with your current sales figures and projects future sales based on historical growth rates and other factors specific to your business. This type of modeling can be pretty accurate when done correctly, but it requires you have enough historical data.

Bottom-up forecasting also allows you to create multiple scenarios to reflect general economic conditions and how widely your products are adopted. It can be beneficial when negotiating deals with customers and investors because it shows different growth possibilities for your company.

Financial Modeling is Essential for Startup Growth

Financial modeling helps you plan, adapt to market changes, and make better decisions. Startups tend to have a limited cash flow, so getting your model correct is essential for growth. 

Financial Modeling Helps Build a Financially Strong Business

Before raising money, it’s essential to understand the financial side of your business, whether you are early stage and raising capital or a seasoned CEO who has been in business for a while.

A robust financial model will help you forecast and track different metrics related to your company’s growth. It provides a data-driven way to decide how much capital you need, what it will be spent on, and when you can expect to generate profit.

A good financial model quantifies and validates your business plan. To help you build a financially strong business, you need to understand the difference between profit and cash flow. 

Financial Models are Instrumental in Raising Funds

A thorough yet concise financial model is a crucial aspect of raising funding. Internally, models give insight into how much capital you need to raise and what you should plan on doing with the funds. 

But they also give potential investors a look at your company’s performance. A solid financial model shows that you have analyzed all future growth aspects, and investors generally like details. 

Financial Models Help You Measure Progress

The goal for most startups is to grow as quickly as possible. Although it’s difficult to make progress toward an unknown destination, a well-developed financial model will give you something concrete to work toward.

A financial model for your startup can help you constantly measure that growth to ensure you’re always either on track or making necessary adjustments.

Financial Models Help You Leverage Growth

Decisions you make in business matter. From different marketing campaigns to new product releases, modeling various business choices will show how your choices could affect your company’s finances. 

For a lot of startups, growing means securing outside investment. Presenting your startup’s financial model to investors gives them a good idea of where your business currently stands. 

Investors are typically looking for startups that already have some traction and are poised for growth. Your model is also a great way to demonstrate how you plan to spend new funding.

It’s easy to see what is and isn’t working. If something isn’t working or isn’t going to work, it will show up on your financial model. Catching problems quickly and making adjustments early on can help you continue to grow where you didn’t initially see success.

Ace Your Financial Modeling with the Help of an Experienced Financial Partner

The heart of your business plan is your financial model for startup growth. Understanding your startup’s financial model, what makes it work and what could potentially derail your plans is a critical step for entrepreneurs. 

A solid model can ensure that you know how much it costs to run your business, what revenue streams you can rely on, and how fast you grow. It can also help you test various scenarios before investing actual funds. 

At Founder’s CPA, we can help you ensure your startup’s financial model reflects your business realities and future challenges. Contact our startup finance experts now to get started.

Curt Mastio
Post by Curt Mastio
May 7, 2024 10:15:02 AM
Curt Mastio started Founder’s CPA in 2017 and currently serves as the Managing Partner of the firm. After obtaining both his Bachelor’s and Master’s degrees in accounting from the University of Illinois in Urbana-Champaign Curt started his career in Big Four public accounting. Shortly thereafter Curt served as the Chief Financial Officer of Storage Squad began his stint as an Adjunct Instructor at Northwestern University’s Farley Center for Entrepreneurship and has been teaching Accounting & Finance to undergraduate students for 6+ years. In his current role Curt oversees strategy, operations, and business development at Founder’s CPA. Further, Curt has experience working directly with 200+ startups and small businesses providing accounting, tax, and outsourced CFO services. His industry expertise lies in the SaaS, Blockchain, Marketplace, and Fintech industries. He has served as a key advisor working directly with startups that range from pre-revenue to companies generating over $30 million dollars a year in revenue. Lastly, he serves a key role working directly with the firm’s clients that have collectively raised over $200 million in venture capital funding to date. Curt is also an active advisor, mentor, and investor in the startup ecosystem. He has facilitated numerous workshops, webinars, and presentations to incubators and other startup-centric organizations. He is also an active mentor for Techstars in both Chicago and Iowa. Outside of his daily professional duties Curt is actively involved with Beat the Streets Chicago and was a founding member of its Young Professionals Board. His efforts in both leadership and community involvement were recognized when he was awarded the Illinois CPA Society’s Outstanding Young Professional Leadership Award in 2020. He was also a panelist at their annual conference in 2022 where he spoke about his experiences starting and operating a public accounting firm. He maintains an active Certified Public Accountant designation that he obtained in 2014. Outside of work, Curt can be found spending time with his friends & family including his dog Rufus. His hobbies include golf, boating, cooking, reading, and attending sporting events & concerts.